Rent vs Buy in Phoenix, AZ: Should You Rent or Buy a Home?
In Phoenix, AZ, the median home is worth $420,700 and a typical 3-bedroom rental costs $1,929 a month. With the latest 7.24% average mortgage rate (2026-10-29), renting and investing the difference comes out ahead after 20 years by $4,417 ($2,695 in today's dollars). Buying would pull ahead only after 21 years at today's rate; at 6%, buying pulls ahead after 9 years; at 5%, buying pulls ahead after 6 years.
Data: U.S. Census Bureau ACS 2020–2024 · Mortgage rate 7.24% (Freddie Mac, 2026-10-29) · Updated 2026-11-01 · How we calculate
Calculator
Start typing a county, city or ZIP code, then pick it from the list.
Using local Census figures for Phoenix, AZ.
$84,200
30-yr avg 7.24% on 2026-10-29
$1,932 a year
Fine-tune assumptions (growth, inflation, costs, taxes)
After 20 years in Phoenix, AZ
Renting comes out ahead by $4,417
$2,695 in today's dollars. Buying would pull ahead if you stayed 21 years. Buying wins over 20 years if comparable rent is above $1,937/mo (you entered $1,929).
If you buy
- Home value
- $837,701
- Mortgage still owed
- −$195,595
- Selling costs
- −$50,262
- Tax on home sale
- −$15,571
- You walk away with
- $576,273
If you rent and invest
- Cash not spent on buying
- $96,830
- Monthly savings invested
- $148,698
- Growth at 6.0%, after tax
- +$335,163
- You walk away with
- $580,690
Both cards are in year-20 dollars.
Monthly cost in year 1
- Mortgage (principal + interest)
- $2,295
- Property tax
- $161
- Home insurance
- $246
- Maintenance
- $351
Principal isn't really a cost — it becomes equity. The comparison that matters is the money you never get back, below.
What your numbers mean
In the first year, owning costs about $3,053 a month: $2,295 mortgage payment, $161 property tax, $246 insurance, $351 upkeep. Renting a comparable home costs $1,929. So the renter has $1,124 a month left over, and invests it — on top of the $96,830 down payment and closing costs they never had to spend.
Rent rises 3.5% a year, so within 20 years it never catches up with the cost of owning (taxes, insurance and upkeep grow with the home's value too).
After 20 years the home is worth $837,701 (growing 3.5% a year from $421,000). You still owe $195,595 on the mortgage and pay about $50,262 to sell plus $15,571 capital gains tax, leaving $576,273 in equity.
The renter's investments, earning 6.0% a year, grow to $580,690 after 15% tax on the gains. That only happens if the money really is invested every month — renting and spending the difference makes buying the better choice almost everywhere.
Renting leaves you $4,417 richer after 20 years. With inflation at 2.5% a year, a dollar then buys what 61 cents buys today, so the gap is worth $2,695 in today's money.
The result is sensitive: it flips if home prices grow 5% a year instead of 3.5%, or if your mortgage rate is 6.24% instead of 7.24%, or if investments earn 4% a year instead of 6%, or if rent rises 4.5% a year instead of 3.5%, or if you stay 25 years instead of 20. See "What would change the answer" below.
Total cost over 20 years
| Where the money goes | Amount |
|---|---|
| Down paymentequity | $84,200 |
| Mortgage principalequity | $141,205 |
| Closing costs | $12,630 |
| Mortgage interest | $409,663 |
| Property tax | $54,647 |
| Insurance | $83,340 |
| Maintenance | $119,057 |
| Selling costs | $50,262 |
| Total paid to buy and own | $955,006 |
| Money you never get back | $745,172 |
| Rent | $654,618 |
| Renter's insurance | $4,598 |
| Money you never get back renting | $659,216 |
“Equity” rows are savings locked in the home, not costs. Figures are in future (nominal) dollars.
What would change the answer?
Nobody knows future home prices, rents or market returns. Each row below reruns your exact numbers with just one thing changed, so you can see which assumptions matter. Rows marked “Answer flips” change the winner.
| What if… | Who comes out ahead, and by how much |
|---|---|
| Nothing changes — your numbers, staying 20 years | Renting ahead by $4,417 |
| Home prices grow 2% a year instead of 3.5% | Renting ahead by $137,854 |
| Home prices grow 5% a year instead of 3.5% | Buying ahead by $159,155Answer flips |
| Your mortgage rate is 6.24% instead of 7.24% | Buying ahead by $100,886Answer flips |
| Investments earn 4% a year instead of 6% | Buying ahead by $144,929Answer flips |
| Investments earn 8% a year instead of 6% | Renting ahead by $210,600 |
| Rent rises 4.5% a year instead of 3.5% | Buying ahead by $93,918Answer flips |
| You stay 15 years instead of 20 | Renting ahead by $22,555 |
| You stay 25 years instead of 20 | Buying ahead by $32,703Answer flips |
Year-by-year breakdown
| Year | Home value | Loan balance | Owning / yr | Rent / mo | Net worth (buy) | Net worth (rent) | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $435,735 | $333,534 | $36,633 | $1,929 | $76,057 | $115,381 | −$39,324 |
| 2 | $450,986 | $330,023 | $36,951 | $1,997 | $93,903 | $134,417 | −$40,514 |
| 3 | $466,770 | $326,250 | $37,280 | $2,066 | $112,514 | $153,954 | −$41,440 |
| 4 | $483,107 | $322,194 | $37,621 | $2,139 | $131,926 | $174,009 | −$42,083 |
| 5 | $500,016 | $317,835 | $37,974 | $2,214 | $152,180 | $194,598 | −$42,418 |
| 6 | $517,516 | $313,149 | $38,339 | $2,291 | $173,316 | $215,739 | −$42,423 |
| 7 | $535,630 | $308,113 | $38,717 | $2,371 | $195,379 | $237,449 | −$42,070 |
| 8 | $554,377 | $302,700 | $39,108 | $2,454 | $218,414 | $259,747 | −$41,333 |
| 9 | $573,780 | $296,881 | $39,512 | $2,540 | $242,472 | $282,652 | −$40,180 |
| 10 | $593,862 | $290,627 | $39,931 | $2,629 | $267,603 | $306,184 | −$38,580 |
| 11 | $614,647 | $283,905 | $40,365 | $2,721 | $293,864 | $330,362 | −$36,498 |
| 12 | $636,160 | $276,679 | $40,814 | $2,816 | $321,311 | $355,207 | −$33,897 |
| 13 | $658,426 | $268,913 | $41,278 | $2,915 | $350,007 | $380,741 | −$30,735 |
| 14 | $681,470 | $260,566 | $41,759 | $3,017 | $380,016 | $406,986 | −$26,970 |
| 15 | $705,322 | $251,594 | $42,256 | $3,122 | $411,409 | $433,964 | −$22,555 |
| 16 | $730,008 | $241,950 | $42,771 | $3,232 | $443,871 | $461,699 | −$17,827 |
| 17 | $755,558 | $231,584 | $43,304 | $3,345 | $474,652 | $490,213 | −$15,562 |
| 18 | $782,003 | $220,442 | $43,856 | $3,462 | $506,923 | $519,533 | −$12,611 |
| 19 | $809,373 | $208,467 | $44,427 | $3,583 | $540,767 | $549,683 | −$8,916 |
| 20 | $837,701 | $195,595 | $45,018 | $3,709 | $576,273 | $580,690 | −$4,417 |
| 21 | $867,021 | $181,759 | $45,629 | $3,838 | $614,277 | $613,322 | +$955 |
| 22 | $897,366 | $166,888 | $46,262 | $3,973 | $655,184 | $647,911 | +$7,272 |
| 23 | $928,774 | $150,904 | $46,918 | $4,112 | $699,188 | $684,576 | +$14,612 |
| 24 | $961,281 | $133,723 | $47,596 | $4,256 | $746,500 | $723,441 | +$23,059 |
| 25 | $994,926 | $115,256 | $48,297 | $4,405 | $797,340 | $764,638 | +$32,703 |
| 26 | $1,029,749 | $95,407 | $49,024 | $4,559 | $851,948 | $808,306 | +$43,641 |
| 27 | $1,065,790 | $74,073 | $49,776 | $4,718 | $910,575 | $854,595 | +$55,980 |
| 28 | $1,103,092 | $51,141 | $50,554 | $4,883 | $973,492 | $903,661 | +$69,831 |
| 29 | $1,141,701 | $26,493 | $51,359 | $5,054 | $1,040,987 | $955,671 | +$85,316 |
| 30 | $1,181,660 | $0 | $52,193 | $5,231 | $1,113,368 | $1,010,801 | +$102,567 |
Difference is positive when buying is ahead. Each row assumes you sell at the end of that year.
Renting vs buying in Phoenix, AZ: the local numbers
Median home value
$420,700
Median rent, 3-bedroom
$1,929
Price-to-rent ratio
18.2
is balanced
Property tax rate
0.46%
The typical owner-occupied home in Phoenix, AZ is worth $420,700, and the median rent for a 3-bedroom rental is $1,929 a month including utilities. That's a price-to-rent ratio of 18.2 — the home costs 18.2 years of rent — compared with 18.2 across Arizona and 17.5 nationally. By that rule of thumb the local market is balanced.
Between the 2015–2019 and 2020–2024 Census surveys, home values here rose 72% and median rent rose 50% — prices have outrun rents, which makes buying relatively more expensive than it used to be. Recent growth is not a forecast: the calculator uses long-run averages by default, and you can change them.
Homeowners pay an effective property tax rate of 0.46%, well below the 0.94% national rate — about $1,931 a year on the median home. Property tax is money a renter never pays directly, so high-tax areas need more appreciation for buying to pay off.
The median household earns $81,332, so the median home costs 5.2× a year's income (4.1× nationally), and 57% of households own their home. Renters spend a median 31% of income on rent.
| Compared with | Phoenix | Arizona | United States |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median home value | $420,700 | $394,500 | $332,700 |
| Median rent, all rentals | $1,582 | $1,543 | $1,413 |
| Median rent, 2 bedrooms | $1,631 | $1,541 | $1,407 |
| Median rent, 3 bedrooms | $1,929 | $1,808 | $1,584 |
| Price-to-rent ratio | 18.2 | 18.2 | 17.5 |
| Effective property tax rate | 0.46% | 0.48% | 0.94% |
| Median household income | $81,332 | $79,964 | $80,734 |
| Home value ÷ income | 5.2× | 4.9× | 4.1× |
| Homeownership rate | 57% | 67% | 65% |
| Home value change, 5 yrs | +72% | +68% | +47% |
| Rent change, 5 yrs | +50% | +47% | +33% |
Compare nearby:
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2020–2024; 5-year changes vs 2015–2019). Home values are owners' estimates; rents include utilities and reflect all current renters, so new leases are often higher.
How the mortgage rate changes the answer in Phoenix
The same $421,000 home and $1,929 rent, 20% ($84,200) down, staying 20 years, with prices and rents growing 3.5% a year and investments earning 6%. Only the rate changes; adjust any of these in the calculator above.
| Mortgage rate | After 20 years | Break-even |
|---|---|---|
| 7.24% (latest average) | Renting ahead by $4,417 | Buying would pull ahead only after 21 years |
| 6% | Buying ahead by $125,606 | Buying pulls ahead after 9 years |
| 5% | Buying ahead by $226,062 | Buying pulls ahead after 6 years |
Over the last five years of Census surveys (2015–2019 to 2020–2024), Phoenix's median home value rose 72% and median rent rose 50%, against 68% and 47% across Arizona.
Phoenix compared with similar cities
The 5 cities whose price-to-rent ratio is closest to Phoenix's (18.2), run with the same assumptions.
| City | Median home value | Rent | Price-to-rent | Property tax | After 20 years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix, AZ | $420,700 | $1,929 | 18.2 | 0.46% | Renting by $4,417 |
| Charlotte, NC | $385,700 | $1,765 | 18.2 | 0.71% | Renting by $48k |
| North Las Vegas, NV | $404,400 | $1,850 | 18.2 | 0.51% | Renting by $13k |
| Durham, NC | $392,800 | $1,795 | 18.2 | 0.83% | Renting by $73k |
| Chesapeake, VA | $378,400 | $1,726 | 18.3 | 0.78% | Renting by $60k |
| Tampa, FL | $420,400 | $1,913 | 18.3 | 0.82% | Renting by $82k |
| Arizona (state) | $394,500 | $1,808 | 18.2 | 0.48% | Balanced |
Other Arizona cities: Tucson · Mesa · Gilbert · Chandler · Glendale · Scottsdale.
Renting vs buying in Phoenix: common questions
Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Phoenix, AZ?
With typical local prices and rents and a 7.24% mortgage, renting and investing the difference leaves you $4,417 better off after 20 years. In year one, owning the median home costs about $3,053 a month against $1,929 in rent, but the answer depends mostly on how long you stay.
How long do you need to stay in Phoenix for buying to pay off?
Buying would pull ahead only after 21 years at today's rate; at 6%, buying pulls ahead after 9 years; at 5%, buying pulls ahead after 6 years. On the median Phoenix home, buying costs about $12,630 in closing costs and selling about $25,242 at today's price, and price growth and loan paydown have to earn that back before buying comes out ahead.
What is the price-to-rent ratio in Phoenix?
18.2: the median home costs 18.2 years of median 3-bedroom rent, compared with 18.2 across Arizona and 17.5 nationally. By the usual rule of thumb (under 15 favors buying, over 20 favors renting) the Phoenix market is balanced.
How high are property taxes in Phoenix?
Homeowners pay an effective 0.46% of their home's value a year, well below the 0.94% national rate. On the $420,700 median home that's about $1,931 a year, a cost renters don't pay directly.